我国物流业增长与外国直接投资之间的动态关联机制研究

Study on Dynamic Correlation between Growth of Logistics Industry and FDI in China

使用面板向量自回归模型(Panel-VAR)以及脉冲响应函数方法,研究了2004-2010年间我国的区域FDI与物流业增长之间的影响机理。结果表明:第一,外商直接投资的进入扩张了物流业的流通区域,提高了商品流通中的货物周转数量,从而增加了经济系统对物流业的需求和供给;第二,商品流通中货物周转量对FDI和物流业网络里程的影响不是很大;第三,物流业的增长是在外商直接投资之前发生的。

In this paper, using Panel-VAR and the pulse response function, we studied the influence mechanism between the regional FDI and the growth of the logistics industry of China between 2004 and 2010 and found that first, the FDI expanded the circulation area of the logistics industry and increased the demand and supply of the economic system toward the logistics industry, second, the cargo turnover in circulation influenced the FDI and the network mileage of the logistics industry only insignificantly, and third, the growth of the logistics industry occurred prior to FDI.