流动人口家庭化迁居水平与迁居行为决策的影响因素研究

The Determinants of Whole Family Migration and Migration Behaviors Decision

本研究对家庭化迁居水平、迁居方式选择的影响因素进行量化分析。研究发现:经济收入是影响家庭迁居决策的刚性因素。流动家庭向老家的汇款金额与举家迁居行为呈负向关系。移民网络提供的迁移信息因乡土秩序排序呈现强弱关系差异。家乡中拥有的住房、土地等实物资本具有保险机制,会降低举家迁居的可能性。人力资本禀赋与迁居决策呈较为特殊的非线性关系。较大的家庭规模、未成年子女数量的增加,会使家庭采取谨慎、缓慢的方式进行迁居。迁入地的社会融入情况良好时,有助于促进流动家庭在城市长期定居。

This paper explores the determinants of whole family migration and migration behaviors. First, higher income in cities is the dominant factor affecting the whole family migration decision, which brings stable economic expect for rural family. Remittance has negative effect on whole family migration decision. Second, the principles of migration networks represent difference between strong ties and weak ties. Third, more family property in hometown has negative effects, and the human capital endowment has nonlinear re- lation to whole family migration. Fourth, big families and families with minor children tend to return migra- tion. Finally, families with well conditions of integration in cities are more likely to settle down.