海平面上升对城市生态环境易损性影响的模拟分析

Simulation Analysis of the Impact of Sea Level Rise on Urban Ecological Environment Vulnerability

根据目前全球海平面上升趋势,提出我国沿海城市生态环境遭受破坏的概率和损失程度判断标准,并将二者进行拟合用于构建基于海平面上升的我国沿海城市各区域的生态环境易损性判断模型。且通过实例研究表明,该模型能够准确的判别上海市各区域的生态环境易损性等级,这为未来上海市维持生态环境的可持续发展提供科学、有效的参考依据。

According to the current trend of sea level rise in the world,this paper proposed two standards for judging the probability and extent of the loss of socio-economic resources in the coastal cities of China.Then these two judgment standards were fitted to build a model for judging the ecological environment vulnerability of coastal cities based on sea level rise.Through cases study,it showed that this model can accurately distinguish the regional ecological environment vulnerability level of Shanghai,which provided scientific and effective references for sustainable development of ecological environment in Shanghai.