河南农村人口就地向城镇转移成本研究

The Cost of rural population transfer to local cities and towns in Henan province

河南农村一个"标准户"就地向城镇转移的短期成本为35650.9元,长期成本(总成本)为69658.6元。从构成上看,义务教育成本、保障性住房成本与城市管理费用成本是主要支出。尽管城市管理费用成本的占比很大,但这项支出是一个缓慢释放的过程(一直持续到居民死亡),每年的支出并不多。就短期而言,子女教育和保障性住房则是最主要支出,需要政府在农村人口进城后的前几年予以支付。由于河南在养老保险与医疗保险方面已经实现了城乡一体化,所以短期的成本增量为0,但从长期看,农村人口向城镇转移还可以降低政府在这方面的支出。

The short-term cost for population transfer to local cities and towns of a standard rural househood in Henan province is 33650.9 yuan, while the long-term cost （Total cost） is 69658.6 yuan. From the view of structure, the compulsory education cost, affordable housing cost, and the city management cost is the main expenditure. Although the city management cost accounted a large percentage, this spending is a slow release process （until the death of residents）, thus the annual expenditure is not so much. In the short term, The main parts of expenditure are children＆#39;s education and affordable housing, which need to be paid in a few years by the government after the rural population transferred to the towns or cities. The incremental cost of short-term in Henan province is 0 because of Urban-rural integration of endowment and medical insurance, while in the long run, the rural population transfer to towns can still reduce the spending of government.