某部媒介生物性传染病风险评估体系的建立与应用

Establishment and application of a risk assessment system for vector-borne diseases

目的应用风险分析的基本原理,建立媒介生物性传染病风险评估指标体系,并用于评估某一特定地区媒介生物性传染病风险。方法采用情报调研、现状调研、问卷调查、访谈等方法综合分析梳理某部驻地及营区病媒生物现状。采用文献调研等方法建立部队营区媒介生物性传染病发生风险指标评估框架,经过专家咨询完善评估指标、指标权重和评估方法。结果建立了多指标综合评估体系,经风险分析,某部驻地媒介生物性传染病主要是流行性出血热和乙脑,其中流行性出血热发生风险为中等,乙脑发生风险较小。结论本研究建立的风险评估、分析模式,对于某一区域媒介生物性传染病预警、控制有一定的理论意义和现实意义,对制定病媒生物防治对策和卫生资源的分配提供一定的理论依据。指标体系还有待在实践检验中进一步丰富和完善。

Objective To assess the risks of vector-borne diseases in the particular areas,establish a risk assessment index system by application of basic principles of risk analysis. Methods Analysising the current situation of vec- tors by methods of information research, investigation, questionnaire and interview, etc, building risk assessment frame- work by using literature survey, and improving evaluation index, index weight and evaluation method by delphi meth- od. Results A risk analysis system had been established for vector-borne diseases. The resident of vector-borne diseases were epidemic hemorrhagic fever （EHF） and epidemic enciphalitits B through analysis. The risk of the epi- demic hemorrhagic feve was small, and enciphalitits B was medium. Conclusion Risk assessment established in this study has a certain theory and practical significance for early warning and control of vector-borne diseases. The in- dex system in practice remains to be further enriched and improved.