我国政府医疗卫生支出相对不足的计量检验被引量：2

Econometric Test on the Government Health Expenditure Relative Deficiency in China

下载PDF

导出

摘要伴随着人口红利的逐步消逝,我国面临着严重的人口老龄化挑战。人口老龄化的加剧必然要求医疗卫生服务的进一步完善。本文运用1997-2011年我国31个地区的面板数据,采用系统GMM动态面板估计方法对人口老龄化与政府医疗卫生支出的关系进行估计,发现我国应对人口老龄化的政府医疗卫生支出相对不足,不能完全满足老龄人口的需要,而引入公私伙伴关系不仅可以弥补政府医疗卫生支出的不足,而且能够使人口老龄化的配套服务体系更加完善。 Along with the gradual vanishing demographic dividend , China is faced with the challenge of serious popula-tion aging .The aggravated population aging will require medical and health service support services .Using the panel da-ta of 1997-2011 China′s 31 regions and the system GMM dynamic panel estimation method estimates the relationship between the population aging and government health expenditure .Through the analysis we can see that the government health expenditure is relatively insufficient , can not fully meet the needs of the aging population .The introduction of pub-lic-private partnerships not only can make up for the lack of government health expenditure , but also can make the pop-ulation aging supporting service system more perfect .

作者徐晓飞杨卫华

机构地区大连工业大学管理学院

出处《商业研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2014年第5期62-66,共5页 Commercial Research

基金国家自然科学基金青年项目项目编号:71002076 辽宁省教育厅科学研究项目项目编号:W2013087 辽宁省科学事业公益研究基金项目项目编号:2013004017

关键词人口老龄化政府医疗卫生支出系统GMM 公私伙伴关系 population aging government health expenditure system GMM public-private partnership

分类号 F061.2 [经济管理—政治经济学]

引文网络
相关文献

参考文献14

1Geten ,T. E. Population Aging and the Growth of Health Expenditures [ J ]. Journal of Gerontolgy: Social Science, 1992(9) :95 - 110.
2UIf - G Gerdtham. The impact of aging on health care ex- penditure in Sweden[J]. Health Policy,1993(24):1 -8.
3黄成礼.人口老龄化对卫生费用增长的影响[J].中国人口科学,2004(4):36-43. 被引量：43
4Zweifel. et. al. Ageing of Population and Health Care Expenditure :A Red Herring? [ J]. Journal of Health E- conomics, 1999 (8) :485 - 496.
5Murthy, N. R. V., Ukpolo, V. Aggregate Health Care Ex- penditure in the United States:Evidence from Cointegra-tion Tests [ J ]. Applied Economics, 1994,26 (8) :797 - 802.
6Hansen, P. and A. King. The Determinants of Health Care Expenditure : A Cointegration Approach [ J ]. Jour- nal of Health Economics 1996 ( 15 ) : 127 - 137.
7Blomqvist, A.G. and Carter R. A. L. Is Health Care Really a Luxury? [ J ]. Journal of Health Economics, 1997,16(2) :207 -229.
8Gerdtham, U.G. and M. Lothgren. On Stationarity and Cointegration of International Health Expenditure and GDP [ J ]. Journal of health Econom - ics, 2000,19 (4) : 461 - 475.
9何平平.协整分析与误差修正模型——经济增长、人口老龄化与我国医疗费用增长的实证研究[J].工业技术经济,2006,25(1):122-124. 被引量：32
10UNTO HAKKINEN, PEKKA MARTIKAINEN, ANJA NORO, ELINA NIHTIL), MIKKO PELTOLA. (2008) Aging, health expenditure, proximity to death, and income in Finland. Health Economics, Policy and Law 3:02.

二级参考文献19

1中国卫生总费用课题组.中国卫生总费用影响因素的计量经济学分析[J].中国卫生经济,1996,15(12):27-28. 被引量：11
2[4]Anderson, Gerard, and Peter Hussey (2000) ,Population Aging: A Comparison Among Industrialized Countries.Health Affairs 19(3): 191-203.
3[5]Cutler, David M., and Ellen Meara(1999), The Concentration of Medical Spending: An Update. NBER Working Paper No. 7279. Cambridge. MA: National Bureau of Economic Research.
4[6]Deborah Freund, Timothy M. Smeeding(2002), The Future Costs of Health Care in Aging Societies: Is the Glass Half Full or Half Empty? Seminar:. Aging Societies: Responding to the Policy Challenges.
5[7]Fuchs, Victor(1998), Provide, Provide: The Economics of Aging. Working Paper #6642. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research.
6[8]Mayhew, Leslie(2000), Health and Elderly Care Expenditure in an Aging World. IIASA Working Paper RR-00-21. Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.
7[9]Mohr. Penny, and Curt Mueller(2001), The Impact of Medical Technology on Future Health Care Costs. Project HOPE. Bethesda, MD: February.
8[10]Newhouse, Joseph(1992), Medical care costs: How Much Welfare Loss? Journal of Economic Perspectives 6(3).
9[11]Robson, William B.P.(2001), Will the Baby Boomers Bust the Health Budget? Demographic Change and Health Care Financing Reform. C.D. Howe Institute Commentary 148. Toronto, CA:C.D. Howe Institute. February.
10[12]Walker, David M.(2001), Long-Term Budget Issues: Moving From Balancing the Budget to Balancing Fiscal Risk. Tesimony before the Committee on the Budget, U.S. Senate. Washington, DC: Government Printing Office Printing Office. February.