金融发展对江苏省工业制成品比较优势和国际贸易结构的影响

Financial development's influence on Jiangsu province industrial manufacture product comparative advantage and international trade structure's influence

在相关研究的基础上,探讨了金融发展与工业制成品比较优势与贸易结构的内在关系。采用VAR模型与Johanson协整检验,脉冲响应、方差分解,以江苏省数据为例,实证检验了江苏省金融发展的三种不同指标与工业制成品比较优势及江苏省贸易结构的关系,检验结果表明金融发展与工业制成品比较优势存在协整关系;在短期内,金融发展对贸易结构的优化贡献度较小,金融中介的投资储蓄转化率对工业制成品比较优势的影响最大,并在此基础上,根据实证结论提出相应的政策建议。

on the basis of related research, this pa- per discusses the intrinsic relationships between fi- nancial development and the comparative advantage of industrial manufactured goods and the structure of trade. Using VAR model and Johanson cointegration test, impulse response and variance decomposition, with the data of Jiangsu Province as an example, this paper tests four different indicators of financial de- velopment and the comparative advantage of manufac- tured goods and the trade structure empirically in Jiangsu Province.Test results show that there is a cointegration relationship between the financial de- velopment and the comparative advantage of industrial manufactured goods; In the short term, the optimiza- tion of trade structure contributes to the financial development smally, investment - saving conversion rate of Financial intermediary has the greatest influ- ence on the comparative advantage of manufactured goods.And on this basis, according to the empirical conclusions this paper puts forward the corresponding policy recommendations.