摘要
1979年和2001年分别由苏联和美国发动的两场阿富汗战争,孕育了巴基斯坦塔利班的诞生。巴塔经历了萌芽和正式诞生阶段,现已步入完全独立时期。独立后的巴塔尽管有自己独特的政治诉求,然而其人员构成复杂、组织结构分散,决定了其行动能力一方面难以协调,另一方面每支团伙差异大,从而对地区构成不同程度的威胁。而巴塔与其他武装团伙的密切联系给该地区安全与稳定带来了更多挑战。鉴于巴塔自身具有的组织能量及其日益极端、暴力的活动方式,可以预计该组织在短期内不会消亡,但将招致国内外民众更多的反对。
After its initial and budding stages,the full-fledged Taliban has developed its own unique political aspiration and featured complex composition and decentralized structure that determines the difficulty in coordinating maneuvers and the diversity of affiliated groups.Links of Pakistan's Taliban to other armed jihadist groups have brought increasing troubles for the regional security and stability.Some indicators suggest that the organization engaging in violence may not die out in the short term but will invite escalating public opposition at home and abroad.
出处
《南亚研究季刊》
CSSCI
2014年第1期43-49,5,共7页
South Asian Studies Quarterly
