影响海南胶农加入天然橡胶专业合作社因素分析

Factor analysis on affecting natural rubber farmers to join natural rubber specialized cooperatives in Hainan

【目的】分析海南胶农加入天然橡胶专业合作社意愿的影响因素,为政府决策与相关研究提供参考。【方法】采用问卷调查和实证分析的方法,运用Logistic模型,基于海南省5个地区306户天然橡胶胶农的调查数据,对影响胶农加入天然橡胶专业合作社的因素进行分析。【结果】胶农的文化程度、对合作社的认知度、种植规模、生产资料供应问题及对其他合作组织的满意度对胶农加入天然橡胶专业合作社行为的影响最显著,前四者对胶农选择行为的影响呈正方向变动关系,后者呈负方向变动关系。【建议】通过加强宣传、提高胶农认识,树立典型、先进带动,提高合作社工作效率、为胶农创造经济效益,以提高胶农加入专业合作社的意愿,促进海南橡胶业持续健康发展。

[Objective]Factor analysis on affecting the natural rubber farmers to join cooperatives in Hainan was conduct-ed to provide references for government decision-making and related research. [Method]Questionnaire and empirical research were applied to analyze a lot of affecting materials factors on natural rubber farmers to join cooperative by using logistic model based on 306 natural rubber farmers’ data from 5 areas in Hainan Province. [Result]The results showed that degree of edu-cation, degree of cognition on cooperative, scale of natural rubber farm, supply of production materials, and degree of satis-faction about other cooperatives were the most notable factors affecting natural rubber farmers’ aspiration of joining the spe-cialized cooperatives. The first four factors were in positive change relations, while the last one was in negative change relation.[Suggestion]The government should strengthen the propaganda and education, set up role models and improve working effi-ciency to enhance the willing of farmers joining the specialized cooperatives and promote sustainable development of rubber industry in Hainan.