基于与/或树的不确定性推理排爆方法选择

Uncertainty Reasoning Explosives Disposal Methods Based on and/or Tree

为促进指挥决策知识的形式化描述和运用,增强知识获取和描述的完整性和逻辑性,运用问题简化法对排爆方法选择问题进行逻辑分析,以扩展的与/或树描述复杂决策因素集合的层次结构,以可信度描述知识的不确定性;用规则描述递归的推理机制;构建排爆方法选择模型,结合实例进行不确定性推理。

To promote the formalized description and the utilization of the command decision-mak- ing knowledge, and enhance the integrity and the logicality for obtaining and describing the knowledge, the problem-simplified method is used for the logical analysis of ascertain explosives disposal methods. The hiberarchy of complicated decision factors is described with the expanded and/or tree. The reliability is used to describe the knowledge uncertainty. Rules are used to describe the recursive reasoning mechanism. The model for ascertain explosives disposal methods is constructed and the uncertainty reasoning is conducted with examples.