城乡居民边际消费倾向变化趋势分析——基于江西省的实证

On Urban-Rural Residents' Marginal Propensity to Consume in Jiangxi Province

从整体上分析了我国消费需求不足的现状,并着重分析江西省消费需求不足的状况。同时,通过对样本数据进行实证分析,得出:江西省城乡居民边际消费倾向并未呈现"倒U"型,且农村居民的边际消费倾向并非总高于城市居民。江西省消费需求不足十年间未得到改善,且与发达地区相比,江西省城乡居民边际消费倾向较高。因此,城乡居民边际消费倾向不是制约江西省消费需求的因素。在此基础上,结合江西省的实际情况,提出扩大江西省居民消费需求的相关建议。

This paper analyzes the deficiency of national consuming demands on the whole with the focus on the inland region of Jiangxi Province .Using the Statistic Analysis Method ,the study indicates that ,the rela-tionship between income and MPC （marginal propensity to consume ） is not an inverted-U curve,and the MPC of rural residents is not always higher than the MPC of urban residents .Moreover,the consumer demand has not increased for almost ten years.Compared to other developed regions ,Jiangxi residents’MPC is higher.So MPC of Jiangxi is not the factor leading to the problem of inadequate consumption demand .Considering the actual sit-uation of the province ,some suggestions are proposed to enhance Jiangxi ’ s consumption demand .