日本遭受美国反倾销的影响因素及其应对策略分析

An Analysis of Factors Affecting U.S.Anti-dumping Action against Japan and Japan's Countermeasures

对日本遭受美国频繁反倾销调查的背景和日本的应对策略进行历史回顾,利用泊松和负二项模型对影响日本遭受美国反倾销的宏观经济因素进行计量分析,得出的回归结果符合经济学的预期,为制定反倾销政策提供了方向和支持。日本的应对策略可以归结为贸易平衡战略、对外直接投资战略、巧妙利用日元升值、提高创新能力和预警战略等。通过对比分析发现中日两国在遭受美国反倾销方面有许多相似之处,日本应对美国反倾销的经验对中国具有借鉴意义。

On the basis of a historical review of U.S. anti - dumping investigation on Japan and Japan＇ s countermeasures and a metric analysis of related macro - economic factors through Pearson model and negative binomial model, the article argues that the regression analysis result conforms with the economic anticipation, providing support for the making of anti-dumping policy. Japan＇s include bilateral trade balance strategy, FDI strategy, making use of Japanese appreciation, improving innovation capacity and adopting early warning system. It is argued that China and Japan share a number of similarities when facing U.S. anti - dumping investigation, and Japan＇ s experience in dealing with of U.S. anti - dumping action has reference meaning to China.