广州市两型社会进程监测综合评价研究——基于2000-2010年的追踪数据

Evaluation System and Empirical Research of the Dual-oriented Society Process: Based on the Data of Guangzhou from 2000 to 2010

本文以广州市两型社会发展情况为研究对象,选择2000-2010年11年间的广州市纵向追踪数据为评价对象,以科学性、客观性、可比性、系统性、层次性和可行性原则建立指标体系,并使用因子分析方法,分别从两型社会的两个方面(即资源节约型社会和环境友好型社会)进行了综合动态监测,研究结果总结如下:在2000-2010年间,广州市资源节约型社会综合指数呈现波浪式上升的趋势;广州市环境友好型社会综合指数基本呈现逐年上升的趋势;广州市"两型社会"综合指数整体上呈现三个阶段,一是从2000-2004年,呈现快速上升趋势、二是从2004-2007年,逐渐稳步下降的趋势、三是从2007年至今,呈现2007年上升后又快速下降到平缓的稳定趋势。

This paper studies the development situation of dual-oriented society process in Guangzhou from 2000 to 2010. This indicator system is established on principles including scientificity, objectivity, comparability, systematicness, hierarchy and feasibility. The paper uses factor analysis from two aspects, i.e., resource-conserving society and environment-friendly so- ciety, and obtains the following three results： first, the development level of resource-conserving society increased in a ripple manner; second, the development level of environment-friendly society increased year by year; third, the development level of dual-oriented society increased quickly before decreased sharply and became steady thereafter.