流动人口的住房选择及其影响因素研究——基于2012年湖北省流动人口动态监测数据的分析

Research on Housing Choice for Floating Population and Its Influential Factors——Analysis of Dynamic Data Based on the Survey on the Floating Population in Hubei Province in 2012

依据2012年湖北省流动人口动态监测数据,分析流动人口在流入地的住房性质和住房租金状况,并运用多项logistic模型对流动人口住房选择的影响因素进行分析,研究结果表明:目前,我国流动人口住房支付能力低,多数选择租住低价房;但随着家庭平均文化程度的提升,流动人口更倾向于选择自有住房;流动人口的流动范围越大,越倾向于选择租住高价房;随迁人数越多的流动人口选择自有住房或租住高价房的概率越高。此外,不同规模城市的流动人口在住房选择方面也有一定的差异性。

Based on the data of a survey on floating population in Hubei Province in 2012, this paper analyzes the situation of the housing character and housing rent of the floating population in the inflow places and analyzes the influential factors of floating population on housing choices by multinominal logistic model. The research results show that currently China’ s floating population’ s affordable capacity for the housing is low, that the majority of the floating population rent affordable housing, however, with the rising of the average family ’ s culture level, the floating population are more inclined to buy their own housing, that the larger the scope of the floating population floats, the higher the housing price for the floating population is inclined to rent, and that the larger the number of the floating population is, the higher the possibility for the floating population to buy their own housing or to rent high price housing is. In addition, there is certain difference in the aspect of housing choice of the floating population in the cities with different sizes.