生产性服务业集聚与内生经济增长——基于空间联立模型的经验研究

Producer Services Agglomeration and Endogenous Economic Growth——Empirical Study Based on the Spatial Simultaneous Equations Model

本文利用中国2010、2011年截面数据,基于内生经济增长理论和空间集聚理论,构建生产性服务业集聚与内生经济增长的空间联立模型,实证检验中国生产性服务业集聚与经济增长的内生关系。实证结果表明,中国经济增长和生产性服务业集聚都具有显著的空间自相关性与异质性,二者具有相互促进的内生关系,但尚未产生拥挤效应。因此,加强省际合作、共同促进生产性服务业发展,协调区域发展、合理布局生产性服务业集聚,优化经济增长、充分发挥生产性服务业作用等应成为中国经济规划的合理选择。

Using cross-section data in 2010 and 2011 in China, and based on the endogenous economic growth theory and spatial agglomeration theory , this article constructs a spatial simultaneous model of producer services agglomeration and endog -enous economic growth for an empirical test on the endogenous relation between the agglomeration of producer services and eco -nomic growth in China .The empirical results show that China＆#39;s economic growth and producer services agglomeration have significant spatial autocorrelation and heterogeneity;their endogenous relation is mutually promoting , but no crowded effect has yet been created .Therefore, strengthening inter-provincial cooperation to promote together the development of producer serv -ices, coordinating regional development to achieve reasonable layout of producer services agglomerations , optimizing economic growth to give full play to the role of producer services should be rational choices to make in China ＆#39;s economic planning .