摘要
当前,发达国家经济复苏继续巩固,新兴经济体增长存在下行压力,全球经济总体上进一步改善。我国内需潜力依然较大,经济增效提质取得进展,改革将为经济发展注入新动力。与此同时,产能过剩问题、财政金融潜在风险、房地产市场分化等矛盾和问题继续积累,经济下行压力加大,我国经济将呈现出稳中趋缓态势。初步预计,上半年我国经济将增长7.3%左右,居民消费价格将上涨2.4%左右。建议加快推进落实积极的财政政策,适度灵活运用稳健的货币政策,以城镇化为抓手扩大内需潜力,加快国有企业、要素市场、财税金融等领域的改革,管理好合理增长预期,推动我国经济持续健康发展。
At present, with the economic recovery in developed countries continuing and the growth of emerging economies suffering downward pressure, the global economy in general is getting improved. Likewise, the potential of China's domestic demand is still greater and progess is achieved in economic efficiency and upgrading, and the reform will give new impetus to the economic development. At the same time, contradictions and problems continue to be accumulated such as: excess production, fiscal and financial risks, real estate market differentiation, increaseing pressure of economic downward. All these may make China's stable economy have the slight slowdown trend. Preliminary estimates show that China's economy grows by about 7.3% and residents consumption prices rise about 2.4% in the first half of this year. Suggestions are put forward to accelerate the implementation of the positive fiscal policy, to carry out moderate, flexible and sound monetary policy, to take urbanization as the starting point so as to expand domestic demands, to speed up the reform in state-owned enterprises, factor market, finance and taxiation and other fields, to control reasonable growth expectations and to promote the sustainable and healthy development of China's economy.
出处
《当代经济管理》
CSSCI
2014年第5期44-47,共4页
Contemporary Economic Management
关键词
宏观经济
态势
政策建议
中国
macroeconomy
situation
policy recommendations
China