产业结构变动对经济增长的影响——基于云南省数据的案例分析

An Empirical Study on the Influence 0f Industrial Structure Change on Yunnan Economic Growth

产业结构变动是影响经济增长的重要因素。通过从国民经济核算层面、增长核算层面和人均产出层面实证分析了产业结构变动对云南经济增长的贡献。研究表明:从国民经济核算层面看,自改革开放以来,第二产业对云南经济增长的贡献最大,第三产业次之,第一产业为最小且其贡献不断下降;从增长核算层面看,产业结构的调整对经济增长的贡献率达到17.3%;从人均产出层面看,1978-2011年云南劳动生产率增长中50.53%是由结构效应贡献的。

Industrial structure change has been an important factor that influences the economic growth. This paper analyzes the contributions of the industrial structure changes made to Yunnan ’s economic growth from the perspective of national accounting,growth accounting and per capita.The results showed that seconda-ry industry contributed the largest to Yunnan’s economic growth,followed by the tertiary industry,primary in-dustry and its contribution to the minimum declining since the reform and opening up from the perspective of na-tional accounts;from the perspective of growth accounting,the contribution rate to economic growth of the in-dustrial structure adjustment reached 17.3%;and from the perspective of the output per capita,50.53% of Yunnan labor productivity growth is brought about by structural effects from 1978 to 2011.