江苏省民营企业出口贸易与经济增长的协整分析

Analysis of the Cointegration among Private Enterprises' Export and Economic Growth of Jiangsu Province

自上世纪90年代以来,民营企业对外贸易已经成为江苏省经济发展新的增长点。通过对江苏省民营企业出口和经济增长之间的关系进行协整分析和误差修正模型分析发现,无论是从长期来看还是从短期来看,民营企业出口对江苏省经济增长均有正向拉动作用。

Since 1990s, export of private enterprises has been regarded as a new growth point for the eco- nomic growth in Jiangsu province, which plays a more and more important role. The paper establishes the cointegration model and the error correction model for the relationship between the private enterprises and eco- nornic growth in Jiangsu province. The paper maintains export of private enterprises helps drive gains in eco- nomic growth in Jiangsu province, both from long-term effect and short-term effect.