摘要
2014年第1季度,国内原料奶收购价格逐步企稳,鲜奶零售价格明显高于往年,奶粉零售价格稳中略有提高;乳品进口继续大幅增加,奶粉进口国家仍以新西兰为主,但是从新西兰进口的奶粉比重有所下降,并且1月即对新西兰奶粉进口启动特保措施;国际市场全脂奶粉和黄油价格高位震荡,脱脂奶粉和切达干酪价格上涨,美国牛奶产量同比略增,英国牛奶产量同比有较大幅度上涨,全球原料奶价格涨幅放缓。预计未来一段时间,国内原料奶收购价格和鲜奶零售价格继续保持高位稳定运行的可能性较大,国际市场主要乳制品批发价格将呈现企稳趋降的态势。
In the first season of 2014, domestic purchase price of raw milk was stable gradually, retail price of fresh milk was higher than past years, retail price of milk powder was generally steady and slightly increasing. Dairy imports increased significantly, the proportion of milk powder imported from New Zealand declined slightly, but still dominant. Moreover, special safeguard measures were implemented for milk powder imported from New Zealand in January. Meanwhile, international market prices of whole milk powder and butter were high and volatile, prices of skim milk powder and cheese were increasing. U.S. milk production increased slightly year on year, UK milk production increased considerably year on year, price increase of global raw milk moderated. In the future, raw milk purchase price and fresh milk retail price will remain stable at a high level at home, and main dairy prices in the intemational market will continue to be steady and decreasing.
出处
《农业展望》
2014年第4期10-13,18,共5页
Agricultural Outlook
基金
农业部"农业信息预警研究"
奶牛产业技术体系北京市创新团队项目
关键词
奶业
价格
国际贸易
国际市场
展望
dairy
price
intemational trade
international market
outlook
