基于效能评估的航空作战进程预测

Prediction on Air Combat Process Based on Effectiveness Evaluation

研究了航空对抗作战中空战双方的兵力变化问题。从飞机作战效能评估的角度出发,给出了在数据链支持下的作战飞机空战能力指数计算方法,并将其转化为平均战斗力水平,从数学原理上证明了二者具有等价性和一致性。建立了能够表征数据链效应的改进Lanchester方程航空作战模型,在考虑有增援的情形下对模型进行扩展。仿真分析了等效实力比和不同增援时刻对空战进程的影响,结果表明数据链具有提高作战效能和改变战局的作用。给出了有效增援时间范围,并指出了在增援作战时存在增援介入时间的"局部最优增援时刻点",为空战决策提供了参考依据。

The problem of force change for either side in air combat is studied.Starting from an effectiveness evaluation of the aircraft,an operation ability index supported by data link is given and converted to the average battle effectiveness level,which is proved to be equivalent to and consistent with the operation ability index by mathematic theory.An air combat model based on an improved Lanchester equation and reflecting function of data link is set up,which is then extended to the case of air reinforcement.Simulation analysis shows how an equivalent force ratio and different reinforcement time influence the process of air combat,which indicates that the data link can improve combat effectiveness and change combat result.Moreover,an acting reinforce time range is provided,and local optimum reinforcement time during reinforcement access time is shown,which can provide references for decision making in air combat.