金融集聚对产业结构提升的空间外溢效应研究——以广东省为例

An Empirical Study on the Spatial Spillover Effect of Financial Agglomeration on Industrial Structure Upgrading——Taking Guangdong as an Example

运用空间计量方法对广东省的产业发展和金融聚集的空间效应进行分析与实证。选取指数首先确定2003–2012年十年间广东省产业结构和金融聚集是否存在空间相关性,而后运用散点图分析描述广东省21个各地级市的金融聚集与产业结构的空间相关关系,实证结果显示,以珠三角为主的金融集聚程度高的地区对周边地区的产业结构有明显的空间外溢效应。为进一步弄清金融集聚对第二、三产业的不同溢出效应,运用模型进行检验,结果显示:金融集聚对于第三产业的推动作用大于对第二产业的推动作用,且第三产业的空间外溢效应要大于第二产业的空间外溢效应。同时,金融集聚和信息化的结合更有利于第三产业的发展。

Taking spatial econometrics—an advanced econometric methods as analytical method,the study has analyzed the relationship of financial agglomeration and industrial structure in Guangdong province. Firstly,the study has demonstrated that the industrial structure and financial agglomeration in Guangdong province has a spatial correlation with the index of Moran’I. Then the paper depicted the relationship of industrial structure and financial agglomeration with a graph of Moran’I. Finally,the paper empirically analyzed the spillover effects of financial agglomeration on industrial structure with SAR model.