西苕溪流域洪水预报系统的研制及应用

Development and Application of Flood Forecast System of Xishaoxi Basin

为了给西苕溪流域防汛提供决策依据,基于洪水变化的复杂特征,结合流域地理信息,以B/S方式集成流域水文学模型、混合回归模型、经验分析方法等,构建了多方案集成的洪水预报系统。应用结果表明:各站预报精度均达到优秀标准,验证了模型及参数的有效性。

In order to provide decision-making basis for Xishaoxi basin flood control,the paper developed the integrated multi-programs flood fore-casting system,using B/S method integrating the basin hydrological model,the mixed regression model and the empirical analysis method. The ap-plication results show that the predicted accuracy has reached excellent standard for each station,and prove the model and parameters are effective.