我国农户贫困动态演变影响因素分析——基于CHNS家庭微观数据的研究

Analysis of the Influence Factors of Farmer's Poverty Dynamic Evolution in China ——Based on the Research of CHNS Family Micro Data

动态贫困研究是从中长期考察家庭贫困状态,关注家庭贫困状态的脆弱性与发展演变。采用CHNS家庭微观数据,通过对我国农户动态贫困的研究发现:男性户主、年轻户主、人口规模较大、低人力资本、人均使用耕地面积越多的家庭,在一段时间内多次贫困发生概率较大;此外,我国农户动态贫困还表现出较强的区位特性。减贫政策应该从以下四方面改进:一是细分农村贫困人口类型,实施有针对性的扶贫政策;二是建立贫困家庭教育技能补贴制度;三是帮扶贫困地区开展非农或高附加值农业经济;四是建立有区域特征的扶贫开发机制。

Dynamic study on poverty is from long-term survey of family poverty and focuses on the family poverty vulnerabili- ty and development. Using the CHNS family of micro data, through the study of poor Chinese farmers dynamic, we find that male head of household, young householder, larger population size, low human capital, the per capita arable land is more and families over a period of many poor is probability larger; In addition, China＇s household poverty dynamics also show the loca- tion characteristics of strong. Therefore, poverty reduction policies should be improved from the following four aspects： One is the subdivision of rural poverty population type, the implementation of targeted poverty alleviation policy; Two is the establish- ment of poor family education subsidy system; Three is helping the poor areas to develop agricultural economy and non-agricul- tural or high value; Four is the establishment of a mechanism for regional characteristics of poverty alleviation and development.