能源消费、能源结构与经济增长的灰色关联分析

Grey Correlation Analysis of Energy Structure, Energy Consumption and Economic Growth

中国是一个能源消费大国，能源消耗量仅次于美国居世界第二位，能源对中国经济持续增长做出的贡献是不可忽视，但与此同时，快速的能源消耗也带来了一系列的社会问题，河流污染、雾霾现象等环境问题都与能源消耗有着密切的关系，能源消费犹如一把双刃剑，与经济增长紧密地关联着。本文利用中国2001—2011年10年间的GDP数据和能源消费量相关经济数据，通过灰色关联分析方法，实证地分析了中国的经济增长与能源消费的相关性。文章从经济增长与能源消费产业结构灰色关联分析和经济增长与能源消费品种结构灰色关联分析两个方面进行，最后根据分析结果提出了促进中国经济快速增长与节能降耗发展策略。

China is a big country of energy consumption, and its energy consumption is ranked the second in the world only after the United States. The energy is an important material foundation for protecting China＇s economic development. However, the huge energy consumption caused a series of environmental problems, llke river pollution and haze phenomenon. These Environmental problems are closely associated with economie growth. The energy consumption is like a double- edged sword which is related with the economlc growth. This paper uses 10 years relevant economic data of GDP data and energy consumption in China from 2001 to 2011, and makes the empirical analysis of the correlation of China＇s economic growth and energy consumption through the method of gray relational analysis. This article gives grey relational analysis from the economic growth and energy consumption in the industrial structure and economic growth and energy consumption structure of varieties. Finally, according to the results of the analysis it puts forward to promote the rapid growth of Chinese e- conomy and the strategy of energy development.