财政支出、经济增长与农村贫困——基于1990—2008年时间序列数据的实证分析

Fiscal Expenditure,Economic Growth and Poverty in the Countryside——Based on the Time Series Data From 1990 to 2008

笔者利用1990—2008年的时间序列数据,估计了各类公共财政支出对农村经济增长和绝对贫困及相对贫困的影响。研究结果显示,政府的各类公共财政支出的边际效应存在很大差异,农村教育和卫生支出对农村的绝对和相对贫困的扶贫效果显著,农业科技三项支出的扶贫效果显著,专项扶贫基金只对绝对贫困的扶贫效果显著,据此,提出相应的政策建议。

This paper uses the time series data from 1990 to 2008 in order to test the impact of public finance expenditure on rural economic growth, absolute poverty and relative poverty. The results show that the marginal effect has big differences between different government public expenditure. The effect of rural education and health expenditure on rural absolute and relative poverty is significant, and so are agricultural science and three technology spending. Meanwhile special help-the-poor funds only have a positive effect on the absolute poverty. Accordingly, we put forward the corresponding policy suggestions.