摘要
文章研究了机械废气污染源的扩散方式,并建立废气预测模型,再此基础上,根据时间序列预测的基本理论,将趋势外推法融入于时间序列的马尔科夫链中,对受污染的机械废气对大气进行了全面的预测。通过实例分析,得到的结果与真实结果较为一致,为大气污染治理提供理论依据。
The paper studies the diffusion of mechanical exhaust pollution and establishes emissions forecasting model, and then on this basis, according to the basic theory of time series forecasting, trend extrapolation will be incorporated into a Markov chain in the time series of contaminated machinery emissions to the atmosphere of a comprehensive forecast. Through case studies, the results obtained are more consistent with the real results provide a theoretical basis for air pollution control.
出处
《广东化工》
CAS
2014年第9期149-150,124,共3页
Guangdong Chemical Industry
基金
国家自然科学基金青年基金(11201485)
徐州工程学院校青年项目(XKY2010201)
国家级大学生创新训练项目(201311998018)
关键词
机械污染
高斯烟雨模型
趋势外推法
时间序列分析
马尔科夫链
mechanical pollution
amidst the gaussian model
trend extrapolation
time series analysis
markov chain