家庭服务性消费支出的决定因素--基于中国城镇住户调查数据的实证检验

Determinants of Household Consumption Expenditures for Services:An Empirical Study Based on Urban Household Survey Data

加快发展现代服务业已成为推动我国需求增长和经济结构战略性调整的重要环节。本文采用2009年和2002年中国六个省份与直辖市的城镇住户调查数据对家庭总服务性消费与各分项服务性消费的决定因素进行了实证检验与扩展分析,发现家庭收入、家庭生命周期阶段、家庭人口性别结构及家庭其他特征变量和城镇人口规模等因素均对我国居民家庭总服务性消费需求和分项服务性消费需求有显著影响,但我国潜在的服务性消费需求还远没有转化为现实需求。本文认为应通过促进产业结构转型升级,改善服务消费条件和环境,提高居民消费意愿,形成一批人口规模适度的城镇,以此促进家庭服务性消费和消费性服务业的发展;更多关注女性的就业和受教育环境,提高女性就业机会和受教育年限,有利于促进居民服务性消费的增长。

Accelerating the development of modern service industry has become a significant link for China to promote economic growth and economic strategic restructuring. This paper uses the 2009 and 2002 Urban Household Survey data of six provinces and municipalities to investigate the factors influencing household consumptions for services and the sub-items. We find that household income, family life cycle, gender of household members and other family structure variables and urban population size all have a significant impact on total household service expenditure and sub-items. But our potential consumer demand for the service has not transformed into real demand. This paper suggests that we should promote industrial restructuring and upgrading to improve the environment for service expenditure and finally enhance residents＇ consuming will. Additionally, the formation of some city with modest population could help to boost household service consumption and consumer service industry. Finally, we should pay more attention to women＇s employment and education environment as well as ameliorate women＇s employment opportunities and years of education, which could he more conducive for boosting household service consumption