区域异质性视角下中国地方政府行为选择及演变

Research on Adoption and Evolution of Chinese Local Governments' Behaviour from the Perspectives on Regional Heterogeneity

为弥补宏观财政分权和微观单峰偏好分析地方政府行为的不足，文章通过构建地方政府官员“晋升锦标赛”模型，利用2000-2012年30个省份的动态面板数据和SYS—GMM估计方法，从地区禀赋、经济发展和社会包容3个中观视角对地方政府行为选择（“攫取之手”还是“援助之手”）及其演变（更多“攫取”还是更多“援助”）进行了分析。结果发现，在整体层面，地区禀赋和社会包容性较好的地区能够引致地方政府更多的“援助”行为，而更高的人均经济增长率会诱发更多的“攫取”行为。在区域层面，中部和西部地区禀赋中的人口规模可能会诱发地方政府更多的“攫取”行为，而中部地区的经济增长和社会包容与东、西部地区有着结构性差异。

In addition to the analyses on fiscal decentralisation in the Marco level and single-peaked preference in the Micro level,this paper constructs a tournament model with inspiration of promotion to local government officials and analyzes its adopted behaviour.According to the 30 provinces panel data from 2000 to 2012 and the SYS-GMM method,the paper studies the adoption of local governments' behaviour(a grabbing hand or a helping hand) and its evolution(more grabbing or more helping) from the perspectives on regional endowment,economic development and social inclusion.At the overall level,the paper finds that regional endowment and social inclusion of the developed regions could lead to more helping behaviour while higher GDP per capita induces more grabbing behaviour.At the regional level,the population endowment in the central and west regions likely induce more grabbing behaviour.There has a structural deviation between the central region and the other regions in the economic development and social inclusion.