长三角经济转型的路径分析——基于科技进步的视角

The Path to TFP-driven Economic Growth in Yangtze Delta——A Technology Perspective

文章在中国经济由二元发展阶段向新古典增长阶段过渡的大背景下,首先分析了长三角地区经济增长所面临的结构性减速、人口红利消失和资本报酬递减问题。进而,基于科技进步的视角,从制度设计、生产效率、资源配置、技术转移等4个层面提出了长三角地区经济增长由投资驱动型向全要素生产率驱动型转变的路径;从而揭示了科技进步与经济增长向全要素生产率驱动型转变的内在逻辑统一关系。

In the context of China’s transition from dual growth to neoclassical growth,the paper analyzes the problems of economic structural deceleration,disappearing demographic dividend and diminishing returns of capital in the Yangtze River delta region.Then,with respect to technological development,the paper explores the path to TFP-driven economic growth in this region based on institutional change,production efficiency,allocation of resources,and technology transfer.The analysis of the path shows the internal logic between technological development and the transition of economic growth driving mode.