1998年以来金华市环境与经济协调发展定量分析

Quantitative Analysis on Coordinated Development of Environment and Economy in Jinhua City Since 1998

构建了浙江省金华市环境与经济协调发展评价的指标体系,运用均方差法确定了各项指标的权重。通过建立协调发展度评价模型,对1998—2011年以来金华市环境与经济协调发展状况进行了定量分析与评价。结果表明,1998—2011年金华市环境与经济发展经历了初级协调发展类经济环境同步型(1998年)、中级协调发展类经济环境同步型(1999—2002年)、中级协调发展类环境滞后型(2003年)、良好协调发展类环境滞后型(2004—2011年)4个阶段。金华市环境经济协调发展度整体水平逐年升高,但经济综合实力和环境承载力差距也有所增大。环境的滞后是影响金华市实现环境经济优质同步发展的主导因子。

This article establishes a set of index system for evaluating the extent to coordinated development of environment-economy system in Jinhua City of Zhejiang Province,using mean square error method to determine the weight of each indicator and applying an evaluation model to calculate the coordinated development degrees of Jinhua City from 1998to 2011.Results indicate that coordinated development of environment-economy system in Jinhua City has experienced four stages：elementary coordinated development and environment-economy synchronization（in 1998）,medium coordinated development and environment-economy synchronization（from 1999to 2002）,medium coordinated development and delayed environment behind economy（in 2003）,and better coordinated development and delayed environment behind economy（from 2004to 2011）.The coordination degree of environment-economy increased year by year.In Jinhua City,there is a larger gap between economic strength and environmental carrying capacity.Delayed environment is the dominant factor restricting best coordinated development and environment-economy synchronization in the city.