山西省影响旅游业发展因素的实证分析——基于多重共线性的检验

The Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Tourism Development in Shanxi Province ——Based on multicollinearity test

借助E-views统计软件建立1993-2011年间的山西省影响旅游业发展的因素模型.通过对影响旅游业发展因素的分析,建立以旅游收入为因变量,以接待旅游总人数、省内公路里程、铁路里程、省内星级宾馆数以及国内城镇居民人均旅游支出、国内农村居民人均旅游支出等为自变量的多元线性回归模型,并利用模型对影响因素进行量化分析和共线性检验,为山西省"十二五"期间发展旅游业、增加旅游收入在政策方面提供相关理论依据和参考性意见.

With the aid of E-views of statistical software,the paper established model of the factors which affected the development of tourism industry in Shanxi Province from 1993to 2011. Through the analysis of factors influencing the tourism development,paper established the model of tourism revenue as the dependent variable,selected the total number of tourist reception,provincial highway mileage,total railway mileage,the number of star-rated hotels in the province,urban residents per capita tourist spending,rural per capita tourist spending as the independent variable in order for multicollinearity test.During the ＂Twelfth Five-Year Plan＂period in Shanxi Province,the paper can provide the theoretical basis and reference in terms of policy advice