基于灰熵理论的煤矿安全评比方案

Mine Safety Appraisal Program Based on Gray Entropy Theory

通过对引起煤矿事故因素进行分析,将其归结为人、机、环境3类因素,运用AHP研究方法赋予各项因素一定权重,并结合关联度分析理论对各影响因素单独分析。结合云盖山煤矿一矿的实际评比方案,建立基于灰色理论和熵变理论的灰熵理论对3因素进行综合分析,以所得灰熵值wi作为最终评定煤矿安全等级的依据,划分等级区间,对评定结果实行相应的奖优罚劣措施,从而缓解或者防止煤矿安全事故的发生。

In this paper,it draw a conclusion that the human,machine and the environment are the main factors that cause mine acci- dents based on the analysis on the accidents. It given a certain of weights to various factors, and made a separate analysis on each factor using AHP methods combined with the theory of correlation analysis. According to the actual appraisal program of No. 1 Coal Mine of Yungaishan Coal Mine,it made a comprehensive analysis on this three factors by establishing gray entropy theory based on gray theory and entropy change theory. The gray entropy value Wz which was obtained in the analysis was taken as the final evaluation criterion of coal mine safety assessment to divide grade interval. Based on the assessment results, it adopt relevant award or penalty measures. By this, it prevented the occurrence of coal mine accidents.