江苏省入境旅游时空格局演变特征分析

Temporal and Spatial Evolution Characteristics of Inbound Tourism in Jiangsu Province

以1978-2010年江苏省入境旅游人数和入境旅游外汇收入为基础数据,通过增长速度和特征年份区域差异变化分析等,对江苏省入境旅游时空格局演变特征进行了定量分析。结果表明:江苏省入境旅游人数和入境旅游外汇收入都经历了快速增长(1978-1988)、波动增长(1989-1999)和平稳增长(2000-2010)三个发展阶段。计算1996-2010年13个地市入境旅游人数和入境旅游收入的标准差和变异系数,结合比率和ArcGIS空间分析,分析1996、1999和2010年3个特征年份入境旅游空间格局演变,得出入境旅游的绝对差异扩大、但相对差异逐渐缩小,并对其原因进行了分析。

Based on the basic data of inbound tourist population and inbound tourism foreign exchange earnings from 1978 to 2010,The paper quantificationally discusses the evolution characteristics of temporal and spatial inbound tourism in Jiangsu province, through the analysis cycle and regional difference changes the features. The results show that inbound tourist population and inbound tourism foreign exchange earnings had expe-rienced three stages of development： rapid growth （1978-1988）, fluctuations in growth （1989-1999）and steady growth （2000-2010）; At the same time, through calculating the standard deviation and coefficient of variation of inbound tourist population and inbound tourism income from 1996 to 2010 in Jiangsu 13 cities, binding ratio and the arcgis spa-tial analysis, the paper analyzes the spatial structure evolvement of inbound tourism in the three features of the year of 1996, 1999 and 2010. According to the absolute differ-ence of inbound tourism increase constantly, but the relative difference is gradually nar-rowing. In view of this result, the paper analyzes the causes.