俄罗斯文明属性及其战略影响考论

The Study of Russian Civilization Attributes and Its Strategic Impact

俄罗斯文明与西方文明有着本质性差异。当代西方文明再塑于文艺复兴,本质上是金权文明。作为俄罗斯文明基石的东正教乃是东方宗教,并且始终强化着俄罗斯文明的东方属性。俄罗斯文明的东方属性决定其无法融入西方。彼得大帝开启的第一轮西化进程被十月革命所终结,戈尔巴乔夫开启的第二轮西化进程被普京所逆转。俄罗斯文明的东方属性对其当代内外战略的影响深刻而巨大:俄罗斯无法融入西方,只能走独立自主的发展道路;与西方的关系将总体趋冷、趋稳,时常出现短时间紧张;独联体国家将长期成为俄罗斯外交首要目标,双方关系将在曲折中前行;俄罗斯经济东向一体化进程将加速,与中国的全面战略协作伙伴关系持续加强。

Russian civilization has essential difference with the western civilization. The contemporary western civilization derives from the Renaissance. As the cornerstone of Russian civilization, Orthodox is the eastern religion, and always to strengthen the oriental attributes of Russian civilization. Eastern attributes of Russian civilization determine it unable to integrate into the Western. Peter opens the first round of the westernization process which was ended by the October Revolution; Gorbachev started the second round of the westernization process which was reversed by Putin. The eastern attributes of Russian civilization influenced its interior and exterior strategies deeply and largely： Russia can’t blend into the west, but the independent development road; its relations with the west will be cooling and stabilized, and sometimes tense; CIS countries will become Russia＇s diplomatic priorities in the long term, and the relationship will move forward twists and turns; the Eastern-integration of Russia＇s economy will accelerate; the comprehensive strategic partnership with China continues to strengthen.