TPP对中国的挑战及中国的选择

TPP's Challenge to China and Chinese Choice

美国主导的TPP等谈判试图在服务贸易和投资开放等领域重建全球贸易规则。本文认为,TPP谈判将是一个长期、持续的艰苦过程。由于各成员的发展水平和对外开放水平差异较大,在多个议题上存在严重分歧,最终达成的协议会有大量妥协折中的条款。对中国而言,不加入TPP谈判可能面临国际政治经济环境恶化、被排除在规则制定之外等不利影响。从长远看,TPP倡导的多数原则和标准与我国进一步改革开放、打造中国经济升级版的发展方向一致。因此,我国应采取多管齐下的策略,主动要求参加TPP谈判,并加快以我为主导的自贸区建设,同时针对国内薄弱环节加快改革开放步伐。

USA-oriented negotiations like TTP try to reconstruct global trade rules in fields like services trade and investment liberalization. This paper argues that TPP negotiation will be a long and continuously hard process. Owing to great differences in development and opening-up of members, views diverge greatly as for many topics,resulting in a lot of compromise clauses in the agreement fi- nally reached. As for China,if it does not join in TPP negotiation, adverse effects like deteriorating in- ternational political environment and the exclusion from rule-making will face it. In the long run, most principles and standards advocated by TPP are in accordance with the development direction of further opening-up and the construction of an upgraded version of the Chinese economy. Therefore, China should take mixed measures, offer to participate in TPP negotiation, advance the self-oriented construction of free trade zones, and speed up the pace of reform and opening-up in connection with domestic weaknesses.