巴西世界杯前世界足坛格局的研究

Research on the World Football Pattern before the Brazil World Cup

运用文献资料、逻辑分析等方法以1974年起历届世界杯的前四名运动成绩分布特征为依据，确定6个足球强国：德国、意大利、巴西、荷兰、阿根廷、法国；随后对传统强国的足球风格、技战术打法特征以及世界各大洲足球的实力进行分析、比较；得出结论：在即将举行的巴西世界杯上，欧美足球传统强国依旧是巴西世界杯夺标大热门，这是世界足球长久以来的两极格局；随着亚非拉北美足球不断积累经验，增厚底蕴，打破欧洲诸强和巴西、阿根延在世界足球格局中形成的鼎足局面是有可能的，但全面抗衡欧美足球强国、成为世界足球第三极还言之尚早．

Based on the features of the performance distribution of the top four competing teams in World Cup since 1974, six football powers have thus been determined： Germany, Italy, Brazil, Holland, Argentina, and France. And specific analysis and comparison has been carried out on these traditional football powers and other football teams across all continents in terms of their styles, tactics and present situations. Hence the conclusion： in the upcoming Brazil World Cup, European football powers are still hot for the championship, which demonstrates a two-polar competition in today＇ s world arena. As football teams from Asia, Africa and North America are accumulating experience and sharpening their skills, it is quite likely that a triangular balance between European countries, Brazil and Argentina will be broken, but it is still too early to say that these countries should be challenged in an all-round way.