环境规制贸易效应下中国对外经济发展方式转变

Transformation of International Economic Development Pattern in China under the Environmental Regulation's Trade Effect

在梳理环境规制与贸易相关文献基础上,结合中国进出口贸易及环境治理投入相关情况分析,阐述了环境规制贸易效应存在较大不确定和复杂性;选择碳排放量作为衡量环境规制强度指标,通过协整检验、Granger因果检验、脉冲响应等方法来检验中美环境规制强度指数与进出口贸易指数之间的关系;提出中国迫切需要转变对外经济发展方式,应对国际经贸领域环境贸易壁垒影响,通过"恰当设计",结合评估来调整政策措施,激发创新,形成新的国际贸易竞争优势。

After reviewing the literature on environmental regulation and international trade,this paper analyzes China＇s import and export trade and environmental governance investment.It documents that the effect of environmental regulation on trade faces great uncertainty and complexity.Using econometric techniques such as co-integration test,Granger causality test and impulse response,this paper also tests the relationship between the import export trade index and Sino US Environmental Regulation intensity index as measured by the carbon emissions.Finally this paper puts forward that China urgently need to change the opening economic development pattern to cope with the trade barriers in the international trade environment,and adjusts policies and measures to stimulate the innovation through the right design and evaluation to get a new competitive advantage in international trade.