东盟国家落入“中等收入陷阱”的原因与教训

The Reasons and Lessons of the "Middle-income Trap" in ASEAN Countries

马来西亚、泰国、印度尼西亚和菲律宾等东盟四国,从低收入状态进入中等收入水平后,经济增长回落或长期停滞,落入"中等收入陷阱"。这既有产业转型升级困难、创新能力不足等经济因素,也有贫富差距不断扩大、政局不断动荡等社会原因,还有国际经济环境改变等外部因素。当前我国处于上中收入国家阶段,要从东盟四国落入"中等收入陷阱"中吸取经验教训,促进发展方式的彻底转变,才能成功跨越"中等收入陷阱"。

Malaysia, Thailand, Indoncsia and the Philippines are four ASEAN countries. Since they entered middle income level, their economic growths have fallen or long-term stagnated, falling into the ＂ middle-income trap＂ . There are a variety of reasons： difficulties in industrial trans- formation and upgrading; lack of innovative abilities; widening gap between the rich and the poor; turmoil of political situation; change of the international economic environment. China is at its stage of the upper-middle income level, therefore, we must learn the lessons from the four ASEAN countries, and transform the development Pattern, to successfully across ＂middle-incomes trap＂ .