摘要
本文在分析研究已有季节性波动时间序列的预测方法基础上 ,提出了一种简单、易懂的实用预测方法 ,并通过实例验证了该方法是可行的。
In this paper,asimple clear utility method of forecasting is given on the basis of study and analysis works on the forecasting technology of time sequence of seasonal fluctuation .By some living examples ,this method is proved to be feasible
出处
《数理统计与管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2000年第6期60-64,共5页
Journal of Applied Statistics and Management
关键词
季节性波动
时部序列
分解季节指数法
预测
Seasonal fluctuation
Time sequence
Seasonal index number
Trend value