生态环境的承载能力是制约人口发展的瓶颈吗?——基于历史分析的视角

Does Ecological Carrying Capacity Restrict the Development of Population?——Based on the Perspective of Historical Analysis

借由历史分析的视角,对春秋战国以来生态环境的承载能力与人口发展的关系进行梳理,结果发现:春秋战国以来,"民过地"的周期性压力导致"边际土地"不断被开垦,粮食安全的周期性危机逐步转化为生态环境的周期性危机,而生态环境危机又成为制约人口发展的瓶颈。粮食周期性短缺与生态环境周期性恶化相伴而生,成为制约我国人口增长的瓶颈性条件。

From the perspective of historical analysis, this paper sorts out the relationship between the carrying capacity of ecological environment and the population growth since the Spring and Autumn dynasty. Results showed that： since the Spring and Autumn period, the cyclical pressures of ＂more people than the earth＂ lead to the ＂marginal lands＂ constantly being reclaimed, and the cyclical crisis of food security gradually transformed into periodic crises of ecological environment, then the ecological crisis has become a bottleneck restricting the development of the population. As a result, the periodically food shortages and ecological environment deterioration attendantly become a bottleneck restricting China＇s population growth.