中美文化产业发展驱动因素的比较研究

A Comparative Study of the Driving Factors for the Development of Chinese and American Cultural Industries

利用1997-2011年文化产业的投入产出数据,基于投入产出局部闭模型的结构分解分析方法,对中国和美国文化产业及细分行业的发展驱动因素进行了实证分析。研究发现:文化产业发展,美国依靠资本和技术"双核"驱动,而中国比较依赖资本的推动,技术进步制约较明显;劳动报酬率是制约中美文化产业的共同主要因素;平均消费倾向和居民消费方式对于中国的贡献较为有限;净出口成为中国十年发展的重要推动因素,同时期则成为美国的主要制约因素;文化制造业的发展,中国以净出口推动,而美国依靠资本驱动;而文化服务业的发展,中国以资本推动,而美国依靠技术进步驱动。

Based on the structural decomposition analytic method with the partially closed in- put-output model, this paper uses the input-output data of cultural industry from 1997 to 2011 to make an empirical analysis of the driving factors for the development of the cultural industries in China and USA. The results suggest that the United States relies on the ＂dual-core＂ , capital and technology to drive the development of its cultural industry, while China depends more on capital, so the restriction from technology progress is quite obvious. The rate of labor remuneration is a common major factor restricting the cultural industries in China and in USA. The average propensity to con- sume and the residents＇ consumption pattern have limited contributions to China. The net export has became an important driving factor for China＇s recent ten year development, while at the same time it is the main restricting factor in the United States. As for the development of cultural manufacturing industry, China is pushed by net export, while USA is driven by capital. As for the development of cultural service industry, China is pushed by capital while USA is driven by technological progress.