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我国货币政策区域效应的SVAR分析 被引量:4

The SVAR analysis of the regional effects of monetary policy in China
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摘要 对货币政策的传导渠道分为利率渠道、信用渠道和汇率渠道。不同区域由于在经济金融等方面的结构性差异,使得货币政策在传导过程中出现差异性,所产生的货币政策区域效应是不同的。采用1978—2010年的数据,运用SVAR模型对不同区域进行分析,结果表明我国存在明显的货币政策区域效应。进一步回归分析发现:信贷渠道是货币政策区域效应的主要原因,汇率渠道是货币政策区域效应的重要原因,而利率渠道对货币政策区域效应没有解释力。区域企业结构差异、区域经济开放度差异、区域产业结构差异对货币政策区域效应影响显著,区域金融发展水平和区域地方政府干预对货币政策区域效应影响不显著。 Monetary policies make their impact through three different channels, namely, that of interest rate, credit, and exchange rate. Because of structural differences in the characteristics of local economies and finances, policy impact shows salient regional variations. Using data dated from 1978 to 2010, this paper applies the SVAR model to empirically analyze eight different regions. Our study shows the existence of significant regional effects with regards to China's monetary policies. Further regression analysis points to credit as the primary channel of policy impact and exchange rate an important channel while interest rate produces almost no impact on the regional effects of monetary policy. Regional differences in enterprise structures, economic openness and industrial structures all contributed significantly to the regional effects of monetary policies, whereas regional differences in financial development and local government intervention have no significant influences on the regional effects of monetary policy.
作者 朱芳 吴金福
出处 《深圳大学学报(人文社会科学版)》 CSSCI 北大核心 2014年第3期99-106,共8页 Journal of Shenzhen University:Humanities & Social Sciences
关键词 货币政策 区域效应 SVAR模型 monetary policy regional effects SVAR model
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