我国竞技游泳运动的历时发展与规律演进

The Diachronic development And The Law Of Evolution in Chinese Competitive Swimming

竞技游泳历来是夏季奥运会的大项,其实力的强弱直接影响着奥运竞技集团的优胜与劣败,而对其自身演进规律的研究可以为后续奥运战略布局和调控提供理论依据。文章搜集、整理了中国竞技游泳近六十年来的成绩记录,运用定基比、环比描述统计方法对中国竞技游泳运动的历史演进规律进行了细致研究,总结、归纳出中国竞技游泳运动的技术自主驱动、非衡涨落突变、路径依赖发展三个规律。

The competitive swimming was always the main item of the summer Olympic Games,the strong and weak of the competitive swimming in a nation had an effect upon the advantage and the disadvantage of Olympic sports groups,the research on the law of evolution in the competitive swimming would provide the strategic layout and regulation of the Olympic Games with theoretical bases 。 This paper had collected and settled the Chinese competitive swimming’s results within nearly sixty years,the evolution rules of Chinese competitive swimming was studied by means of fixed base relative and link relative ratio of the descriptive statistics in order that there were three Laws of the technical independent prime mover unbalanced fluctuation and saltation、path dependent development。