摘要
基于土地集约利用潜力测算建设用地储备量,采用灰色预测和回归分析法等,测算了一定时期肇庆市鼎湖区的土地储备量。结果表明:鼎湖区2020年土地储备规模为1 316.023 5 hm2,其中土地储备存量规模为1 237.727 6 hm2,增量储备规模为78.295 9 hm2,说明了建设用地供给能够满足未来经济发展对建设用地的需求,预测值可为鼎湖区编制土地利用规划及用地计划提供参考。
In order to estimate the land reserve of Dinghu District in Zhaoqing in a certain period, intensive land use potential of construction land reserve is based on the research, using gray forecasting and regression analysis method to explore the land reserve. The result shows that ： The land hank size in Dinghu District will reach to 1 316. 023 5 hm^2 in 2020, the size of the stock land reserve is 1 237. 727 6 hm^2 while the incremental scale is 78. 295 9 hm^2. The result also shows that the supply of the construction land can meet the economic demand, the predicted value of economic development and land use planning can be the reference of the future planning in Dinghu District.
出处
《安徽农业科学》
CAS
2014年第18期6020-6024,6028,共6页
Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences
基金
广东省科技计划项目(2012A031100011)
住房与城乡建设部科研项目(2010-R2-8)
广州市属高校科研项目(10A144)
关键词
土地储备量
集约利用
回归分析
灰色预测法
鼎湖区
Land reserve
Intensive land use
Regression analysis
Gray forecasting
Dinghu District
