IPCC第五次评估报告第二工作组报告的主要结论对2015协议谈判的影响分析

Key Findings of the Working Group Ⅱ Contribution to the IPCC AR5 and Their Implications on the Negotiations of the 2015 Agreement

IPCC第五次评估报告第二工作组报告《气候变化2014:影响、适应和脆弱性》以气候变化风险为核心理念,对气候变化的影响进行了系统性的评估,对适应气候变化相关的需求、选择、机会、约束和局限性等方面进行了全面综合的论述。报告发布正值《联合国气候变化框架公约》谈判的关键时期,作为德班平台新协议谈判的重要信息来源,第二工作组报告将对全球长期目标、适应及其与减缓的关系、损失与损害等重要议题谈判产生重要的影响。为了在下阶段更好地开展国际谈判和国内相关工作,应深入解读报告的主要结论并做到科学的应用。

The Working Group II （WGII） contribution to the IPCC AR5, Climate Change 2014： Impact, Adaptation, and Vulnerability, comprehensively assessed the needs, options, opportunities, constraints, and limits of adaptation with a new focus on the climate-related risks in a systematic manner. As a main information source for the negotiations on the 2015 Agreement under the UNFCCC, the key findings of the WGII reports will have significant influences on many important issues including global long term goal, adaptation, loss and damage, etc. The reports contain the most up-to-date and comprehensive scientific knowledge on climate change, thus to achieve a better understanding of the conclusions, which could further facilitate the domestic work and international negotiation.