地下水埋深的影响因素分析及模型研究

Study on Impact Factors for Groundwater Burial Depth

分析地下水位埋深影响因素的必要性和建立模型的意义,介绍研究区的概况、水文地质条件及地下水位年内和年际动态特征,利用灰色关联理论分析确定影响地下水位的主要因素,结果表明,对地下水位埋深影响程度按大到小排序为前年埋深、水面蒸发、降雨量、开采量。在灰色关联理论分析的基础上采用多元线性回归模型分析地下水位埋深变化,邯郸市主城区地下水位变化明显,整体有持续下降的趋势,但地下水埋深波动比较频繁。研究为主城区地下水资源的人工调蓄和最严格水资源管理提供依据。

At first, the paper states the necessity of research on impact factors for groundwater burial depth and the mean-ing of model construction and then gives an brief introduction to the hydrogeological condition , annual and interannual ground-water level variations.By taking a grey correlation analysis, the impact factors for groundwater burial depth are identified.The result indicates that the most powerful impact factor is the burial depth the year before, follow by evaporation from water sur-faces, rainfall and exploitation quantity.Moreover, a Multiple Linear Regression Mode is established to figure out the varia-tions of groundwater burial depth.The result shows that the water level of groundwater in downtown changes dramatically and decrease constantly, in addition, the burial depth fluctuates frequently.The study can be used as a reference for water re-sources regulation and the most strict water management.