基于AHP法农户稻作方式选择意愿与影响因素研究——以江苏省为例

Farmer choice willingness of rice cultivation ways and the influcencing factors:a case study of Jiangsu province based on AHP method

农户对稻作方式的选择已经成为影响江苏省乃至全国水稻生产发展的重要因素。基于江苏省苏南、苏中及苏北地区农户稻作方式选择意愿的调查数据,运用AHP法构建农户稻作方式选择意愿的评判系统,对农户稻作方式选择意愿及影响因素进行分析。结果表明:农户更倾向于选择直播稻,影响农户稻作方式选择意愿的主要因素有稻作方式的劳动力投入量、农户对水稻种植态度、稻作方式劳动强度、水稻生产服务组织发展水平、农户水稻种植规模等,在此基础上提出了促进机插稻推广应用的对策和建议。

Farmer choice of rice cultivation ways has become a major problem affecting sustainable development of rice production in Jiangsu Province even all over the country. In order to analyze farmers＇ choice willingness of rice cultivation ways and the influceneing factors, the survey data was obtained from farmers in Southern, Central and Northern regions of Jiangsu Province, and AHP was applied to construct structure model of judgement system of farmers＇ choice willing- ness. Results were as follows： farmers inclined to choose direct rice seeding, and labor input of rice cultivation ways, the attitude of farmers on rice cultivation, labor intensity of rice cultivation ways, the development of rice produetion service organizations and the scale of rice cultivation were the main factors affecting farmers＇ choice willingness of rice cultivation ways. Based on the study, suggestions were put forward to promote the popularization and application of meehanized rice seedling transplantation.