基于灰色系统模型的医药制造业物流规模预测研究

Research of pharmaceutical manufacturing logistics scale prediction research based on the grey model

首先建立了医药制造业物流规模的GM(1,1)模型,并对该模型进行了后验差检验,检验结果表明:该模型精度等级较好。然后根据该模型对全国2013—2018年的医药制造业物流规模进行了预测;最后对医药制造业物流的可持续发展提出了几点建议。

This paper established the pharmaceutical manufacturing logistics scale of GM （1,1） model ,and the model was a posterior difference test , results show that the model precision grade is good .Then according to the model of which the country ’ s pharmaceutical manufacturing logistics scale in 2013-2018 are put forward is fore-casted , at last for the sustainable development of the pharmaceutical manufacturing logistics some suggestions .