基于泰尔指数的山东省区域差异多指标测度研究

Studies on Multi-indicators of the Shandong Province Regional Economic Development Diversity Based on Theil Index

以县域为基本研究单元,以山东半岛、省会城市群、鲁南经济带为研究分区,应用泰尔指数分析法,以人均GDP、人均社会商品零售总额、人均城乡居民储蓄存款、人均工业生产总值为指标,对1990—2012年间山东省区域差异进行多指标测度研究。结果表明,山东省人均GDP与人均城乡居民储蓄存款的差异变化平缓且差异较小;人均社会商品零售总额的差异呈阶段性发展,前期差异明显大于后期;人均工业生产总值差异起伏明显且差异较大。同时,山东省三大区域内部的差异也各不相同,山东半岛各项指标的差异程度除人均工业生产总值较大外,其余3项指标的差异程度较小;省会城市群四项指标的差异程度较大;鲁南经济带各项指标差异程度变化不大,是区域差异最为均衡地区。

With basic research unit at the county level to the Shandong peninsula,capital city agglomeration,Lunan economic zone for the study district,the paper is to represent regional differences in Shandong province from 1990 to 2012 by the Theil index analysis method applied to per capita GDP,the total retail sales of social commodities per capita,per capita savings deposits of urban and rural residents per capita gross industrial production value index.The results show that the difference in Shandong province represents a smooth and narrowing change in per capita GDP and per capita savings deposits of urban and rural residents; the significant fluctuations and the great difference are represented in per capita gross industrial production.Meanwhile,the three major differences within Shandong province are also different.The difference in per capita gross industrial production in Shandong peninsula regional shows greater wide than the other three indicators.The four indicators in capital city agglomeration are indicative of great difference.Lunan economic zone with lesser degree of change in each indicator is the most balanced region.