冲击地压的混沌学模型及预测预报

Forecast and chaos model of rockburst

根据混沌学理论 ,研究了冲击地压启动的混沌特性 ,提出了在一定的时间尺度内预测预报冲击地压发生的方法 .应用动力反演方法 ,建立了冲击地压的动力学方程组 ,并以此模型进行冲击地压的预测预报 .实例表明 ,该方法是可行的 .

According to the chaos theory, chaos characteristic of rockburst is researched, which gives up that the feature can be used to exactly forecast the happiness of rockburst. The method of dynamic inversion is applied on setting up the dynamic equation group and forecasting rockburst. The examples prove the method feasible.